According to China expert Michael Pillsbury, author of The hundred-year marathon, the Chinese Communist Party intends to integrate Hong Kong and Taiwan back into China in time to achieve ‘Middle Kingdom’ status by 2049—the centennial of the CCP’s victory over the Guomindang in the Chinese civil war.
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“There are several things that even Trump haters have to respect, this limited progress,” Michael Pillsbury, a China hawk who has advised Trump, said of the partial deal with Beijing. “It’s a big deal” that China acknowledged it would do more to reduce nontariff barriers, Pillsbury said.
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Michael Pillsbury, a China expert at the conservative Heritage Foundation think tank, said the deal between the two countries should be seen as a win for Trump.
“This is promising,” said Pillsbury, who advised Trump on China during his first term. “But it could still blow up if there is no dramatic progress in 90 days.”
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Michael Pillsbury, a top China adviser to Mr. Trump during his first term, said Beijing was most likely waiting to see what the deals that the Trump administration reaches with other nations such as India and Japan look like before engaging directly.
“They don’t want to start the formal talks because they want to know the bottom line from others first,” said Mr. Pillsbury, who speaks to U.S. and Chinese officials.
He noted that the trade fight has become a major point of national pride for China and that it believes that Mr. Trump’s demands — which Beijing does not fully grasp — will soften as American markets gyrate and midterm elections in the United States draw closer.
“Delay is very much in their interest, and a speedy deal is very much in Trump’s interest,” Mr. Pillsbury said
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“They are kind of desperate,” Pillsbury said. “Their economy is in trouble. Now that Trump put the tariffs on, they know this campaign has failed.”
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“With my experience with the Chinese, they are suspicious in the initial rounds of a negotiation that there are hidden traps or other reasons to be cautious,” said Michael Pillsbury, a China expert who advises the Trump administration on dealing with the country.
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